Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000135 0.000151 0.000168 0.000187 0.000209 0.000232 0.000259
2025-09-07 0.000112 0.000133 0.000157 0.000186 0.000221 0.000260 0.000310
2025-09-14 0.000095 0.000119 0.000148 0.000184 0.000230 0.000285 0.000358
2025-09-21 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143 0.000186 0.000243 0.000316 0.000415
2025-09-28 0.000075 0.000102 0.000138 0.000187 0.000255 0.000344 0.000471
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000094 0.000132 0.000186 0.000262 0.000367 0.000521
2025-10-12 0.000062 0.000090 0.000130 0.000190 0.000277 0.000401 0.000589
2025-10-19 0.000056 0.000085 0.000126 0.000190 0.000286 0.000426 0.000648
2025-10-26 0.000052 0.000080 0.000123 0.000190 0.000294 0.000451 0.000705
2025-11-02 0.000047 0.000076 0.000118 0.000188 0.000299 0.000472 0.000759
2025-11-09 0.000044 0.000072 0.000116 0.000189 0.000310 0.000500 0.000826
2025-11-16 0.000041 0.000068 0.000112 0.000186 0.000312 0.000516 0.000875
2025-11-23 0.000037 0.000064 0.000108 0.000185 0.000319 0.000540 0.000940
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000061 0.000106 0.000185 0.000326 0.000567 0.001012
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000058 0.000102 0.000184 0.000331 0.000589 0.001077
2025-12-14 0.000030 0.000056 0.000101 0.000186 0.000343 0.000624 0.001169
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000054 0.000099 0.000187 0.000353 0.000655 0.001256
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000051 0.000097 0.000185 0.000358 0.000679 0.001330
2026-01-04 0.000026 0.000051 0.000097 0.000190 0.000373 0.000723 0.001449
2026-01-11 0.000024 0.000049 0.000095 0.000190 0.000381 0.000754 0.001542
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000047 0.000093 0.000190 0.000388 0.000783 0.001634
2026-01-25 0.000021 0.000045 0.000090 0.000188 0.000392 0.000806 0.001716
2026-02-01 0.000020 0.000043 0.000089 0.000189 0.000403 0.000843 0.001830